A. INFLATION RATES FOR ALL ITEMS

The headline inflation in BARMM decelerated to 5.3 percent in June 2024, down from 5.9 percent in May 2024. In comparison, the inflation rate in June 2023 was higher at 6.0 percent.

Table 1 shows that in June 2024, the provinces with lower inflation rates were: Basilan at 5.7 percent, Lanao del Sur at 4.8 percent, and Maguindanao at 6.9 percent. Conversely, the province that experienced a higher rate of price movement was Tawi-Tawi, with inflation increasing to 4.6 percent from 2.9 percent. Meanwhile, the Sulu province registered a steady inflation rate of 3.4 percent from May 2024. Additionally, Cotabato City, an Independent Component City (ICC), posted a lower inflation rate of 4.3 percent in June 2024, down from 4.9 percent in May 2024.

The following commodity groups that posted decreases from their previous month’s inflation rates were:

a. Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages, 5.8 percent;
b. Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco at 3.8 percent;
c. Clothing and Footwear at 2.7 percent;
d. Furnishings, Household Equipment and Routine Household Maintenance, 2.5 percent;
e. Information and Communication, 0.2 percent;
f. Recreation, Sport and Culture, 5.9 percent;
g. Restaurants and Accommodation Services, 7.8 percent; and,
h. Personal Care and Miscellaneous Goods and Services, 4.7 percent.

Meanwhile, the commodity groups that posted higher inflation rates from their previous month’s inflation rates were:

a. Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels, 3.9 percent;
b. Health, 2.7 percent; and,
c. Transport, 6.9 percent.

On the other hand, the commodity groups that remain constant at their May 2024 inflation rates were:

a. Education Services, 7.5 percent; and,
b. Financial Services, 0.0 percent.

B. INFLATION RATES FOR FOOD ITEMS

For food commodities, inflation decreased to 6.0 percent in June 2024 from 7.0 percent in the previous month. In June 2023, inflation of food items was higher at 7.4 percent.

The decreased in the region’s food inflation was mainly brought about by the lower indices for Cereals and cereal products (ND) at 13.7 percent, (see Table 3). Also contributing to the downtrend in the overall inflation during the period were the lower annual increments in the indices of the following food commodity groups as compared with their previous month’s inflation rates:

a. Flour, Bread and Other Bakery Products, Pasta Products, and Other Cereals, 3.0 percent;
b. Meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals (ND) at 0.8 percent;
c. Fish and other seafood (ND), negative 0.6 percent;
d. Milk, other dairy products and eggs (ND) at 5.3 percent; and,
e. Vegetables, tubers, plantains, cooking bananas and pulses (ND) at negative 1.7 percent;

On the other hand, the food group posted higher inflation rates in June 2024, were the:

a. Corn, negative 5.0 percent;
b. Oils and fats, negative 0.3 percent;
c. Fruits and nuts (ND) at negative 3.3 percent;
d. Sugar, confectionery and desserts (ND) at negative 3.1 percent; and,
e. Ready-made food and other food products n.e.c. (ND) at 8.2 percent.

C. PURCHASING POWER OF PESO

Purchasing Power of Peso (PPP) is inversely related to inflation rate. Thus, as the inflation rate increases, PPP declines, as shown in Figure 2. In BARMM, PPP is at PhP 0.79 as of June 2024.

TECHNICAL NOTES:

Consumer Price Index (CPI)
The CPI is an indicator of the changes in the average retail prices of a fixed basket of goods and services commonly purchased by households relative to a base year.

Uses of CPI
The CPI is most widely used in the calculation of the inflation rate and purchasing power of peso. It is a major statistical series used for economic analysis and as a monitoring indicator of government economic policy.

Computation of CPI
The computation of the CPI involves consideration of the following important points:

a. Base Period
The reference date or base period is the benchmark or reference date or period at which the index is taken as equal to 100.

b. Market Basket
A sample of the thousands of varieties of goods purchased for consumption and services availed by the households in the country selected to represent the composite price behavior of all goods and services purchased by consumers.

c. Weighting System
The weighting pattern uses the expenditures on various consumer items purchased by households as a proportion to total expenditure.

d. Formula
The formula used in computing the CPI is the weighted arithmetic mean of price relatives, the Laspeyre’s formula with a fixed base year period (2018) weights.

e. Geographic Coverage
CPI values are computed at the national, regional, and provincial levels, and for selected cities.

Inflation Rate
the rate of change of the CPI expressed in percent. Inflation is interpreted in terms of declining purchasing power of peso.

Headline Inflation
refers to the rate of change in the CPI, a measure of the average standard “basket” of goods and services consumed by a typical family.

Purchasing Power of Peso
shows how much the peso in the base period is worth in the current period. It is computed as the reciprocal of the CPI for the period under review multiplied by 100.

Note: The dataset used in the special release is exclusive for BARMM provinces including Cotabato City and excluding 63 barangays.

ENGR. AKAN G. TULA
OIC-Regional Director